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CIR update (Feb. 15, 2010)
The CIR legislation, while not
dead, is certainly on life
support as we reach the middle
of February. As we have written
previously, the issue is time.
With unlimited time, this
legislation definitely would be
brought up for debate and a
vote. Unfortunately, there is
only a limited amount of time
left in this Congress.
As of mid-February, there are
about 75 legislative days left
before Congress starts to
consider adjournment. With this
being an election year in which
one third of the Senate as well
as the entire House facing
election, it is likely that the
Congress will adjourn shortly
after Labor Day.
As a
practical matter, if CIR is not
considered on the floor of the
Senate within the next 30
legislative days, it is likely
dead for this Congress. A
legislative day is a day in
which the Senate is in session.
While the House is in
session five days per week,
three weeks out of every month,
the Senate is in session three
days per week, every week. Of
course, weekend, holidays, and
"district work periods"
(vacations) do not count.
The big issue on the table
right now is still health care
reform. The February 25th White
House summit on health care
will go a long way toward
determining when this
legislation will go back to the
Senate and how much time it
will take out of the Senate
calendar.
If the
Republicans feel that they have
to at least go through the
motions of pretending to
participate in a bi-partisan
re-drafting of the legislation,
then the bill could be taken
out of consideration for as
long as two months while the
two sides posture. If the
Republicans simply blow off the
meeting, then the Democrats are
likely to bring health care
back immediately for
consideration.
If health
care is put off, the only
remaining piece of legislation
with a higher priority than CIR
will be the jobs bill. There
was a temporary breakthrough on
bi-partisan legislation, but
that was crushed by the Senate
Majority Leader. He may be
overridden by his own party on
this issue, however.
In
the best of all worlds, a
bi-partisan jobs bill will pass
very quickly and health care
will be tabled pending an
attempt to craft a bi-partisan
bill. If that happens, then CIR
will definitely get brought up
for consideration.
Unfortunately, that is about
the only way that we will see
CIR in this Congress.
As
the days and weeks pass, we get
closer and closer to both
houses having to concentrate on
the budget bills. When that
happens, we can forget about
any further consideration of
CIR in this Congress.
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